Last week I broke down two polls that gave Hillary a 6 point overall lead over Trump. Both of those polls over-sampled Democrats. When you corrected their methodology the polls showed a tie between the two candidates. When you added that new data into the RCP average (really the only data you should care about) Hillary’s lead vanishes into a tie.
Dirty poll tricks are nothing new to politics, and the casual observer doesn’t understand poll science. So it becomes easy to manipulate people in order to steer election results. It’s highly unethical, but common.
No one should care about polls this early anyway, but … Merica!
Now the news headlines are ringing with a new poll showing Hillary has a 12 point lead over Trump. That would be interesting considering he’s been gaining on her since the Orlando terrorist attack, but I digress.
What Jim Hoft over at The Gateway Pundit is point out is that the latest Reuters poll sampled 52% Democrats (already a major problem), and only 35% Republicans. Highly problematic and inaccurate results from a clearly skewed poll should be disregarded. You can see for yourself on Reuters’ website if you don’t trust GP.
There is another poll showing a 12 point lead for Hillary over Trump by ABC/Washington Post.
If you adjust for Gary Johnson, it’s a 10 point lead for Hillary.
However, the poll over-samples Democrats too. Guess by how much. Go ahead … guess. Yep, 12 points. How very coincidental that a poll showing Hillary has a 12 point lead over Trump over-samples Democrats by 12 points.
Sampling should be as close to the 3-4% margin of error the poll strives for. Ideally, you’d get 33% Democrat, 33% Republican, 33% independents to give you an accurate poll.
In two weeks, we’ve had at least 4 polls showing Hillary with a lead over Trump by almost the exact same number as Democrats are being over-sampled.
Gasoline prices have gone up in recent months but despite disruptions in supply, an energy economist at Purdue says prices at the pump should still be 40 to 60 cents below last summer’s prices.
The majority of Republican voters trust #Donald Trump to lead the Republican party over House Speaker #Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), according to a new NBC/Survey Monkey #poll released Tuesday.
Gasoline prices have gone up in recent months but despite disruptions in supply, an energy economist at Purdue says prices at the pump should still be 40 to 60 cents below last summer’s prices.
The majority of Republican voters #trust#Donald Trump to lead the Republican party over House Speaker #Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), according to a new NBC/Survey Monkey #poll released Tuesday.
And in Indiana, the #parents of a 9-year-old suburban Indianapolis girl are seeking the same for up to 2.5 million samples collected over two decades and stored in 600 boxes at a state warehouse.
The start of the trial of Army Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl, who faces desertion and misbehavior charges for abandoning his post in Afghanistan, has been postponed until next year to give his defense team time to sift though thousands of pages of secret documents.
NBC 11 reports that Colt Chatfield came to school with a #Confederate flag flying from his truck and was told to take it down because some students found it offensive. He complied even though he said he has flown it many times before without complaint. However, the next day he came back with both the Confederate flag and the American flag waiving. The school then told him to remove both of them or lose his graduation rite to walk and receive his diploma.
An American congressional candidate wants you to know that the porn tabs he had open in a screenshot posted to his Facebook page are absolutely nothing to be concerned about.
A study from the University of Edinburgh shows that electric and hybrid vehicles emit as many, if not more, atmospheric toxins than fossil fuel-burning vehicles.
“Obviously, some safety measures make complete sense. Bike helmets? Absolutely! No playing tag on the playground because you might tag too hard and cause someone to fall and hurt themselves? Give me a break.”
Travelers across the country have endured lengthy lines, some snaking up and down escalators, or through food courts, and into terminal lobbies. At some airports, lines during peak hours have topped 90 minutes. Airlines have reported holding planes at gates to wait for passengers to clear security.
This will cut down on the amount of carry-on luggage fliers haul on planes and speed up inspections at the notoriously slow #Transportation Security Administration checkpoints, U.S. Senators Edward Markey and Richard Blumenthal wrote in a letter to a dozen major U.S. airlines.
New Yorkers can blame themselves for unbearably long lines at area airports, the Transportation Security Administration said in response to criticism from the Port Authority.
A bag-screening issue that caused more than 3,000 checked bags to miss their outbound flights has been fixed, Transportation Security Administration officials said Friday.
“A school may not require #transgender students to use facilities inconsistent with their gender identity or to use individual-user facilities when other students are not required to do so,” the letter says, according to The New York Times, which obtained a copy.
Peruvian activist and actor Richard Torres contracted matrimony with Mexico’s famous 1,000-year-old Arbol del Tule, or Tule Tree, in an Inca ceremony replete with incense, grains and conch shells.
This is the sex house of an #ecosexual, a person who makes the land their lover, bringing a whole new meaning to “environmentally friendly” and “whore-ticulture”.
The bad news is that the help won’t kick in until after the $6,850 deductible is exhausted. The bottom line: The new mother pays $7,010 out of the $7,540 in costs.
The White House aide responsible for fabricating the narrative on the #Iran deal also had a hand in spinning the events following the attack on a U.S. consulate in #Benghazi, an email reveals.
Asthmatic smokers who switch to #vaping could enjoy significant recovery in their lung and respiratory function, according to a new study published in Discovery Medicine.
Donald #Trump leads #Hillary Clinton by ten points among #Hispanic voters, according to a shocking new general election match-up #poll released Friday.
[bctt tweet=”Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 10 points among Hispanic voters.” username=”CaseyTheHost”]
“Hillary [Clinton] screwed up; that’s not our fault. She doesn’t see the effect the event had on families and still has on families,” said Paronto.
[bctt tweet=”Hillary screwed up; that’s not our fault. She doesn’t see the effect the event had on families and still has on families.” username=”CaseyTheHost”]
The former fiancee of Ambassador #Chris Stevens, who was killed in the 2012 #Benghazi terror attack, tells Newsmax TV that #Hillary Clinton didn’t do her job by ignoring Stevens’ requests for more security.
[bctt tweet=”Hillary Clinton didn’t do her job by ignoring Stevens’ requests for more security.” – #Lydie Denier (Ambassador Stevens’ fiance) username=”CaseyTheHost”]
Wendy’s will install self-serving kiosks at it’s over 6,000 locations later in the year, reports Investor’s Business Daily. Retailers and restaurants have already started exploring automation with many places replacing cashiers and other low-skilled jobs with computers and machines. Wendy’s President Todd Penegor hopes automation will help his company overcome a 5 percent inflation in wages.
The uncomfortable scene is a familiar one to anybody who has ever visited a #theme park: The overweight rider becomes increasingly embarrassed as the ride attendant pushes and shoves with all his might on the over-the-shoulder restraint that stubbornly refuses to click closed. Everybody waiting in line knows what comes next: the walk of shame.
Zimmerman put the 9mm on gunbroker.com, with the auction set to begin at 11 a.m. Thursday. The bidding was to start at $5,000. But now the link has vanished.
A federal #judge ruled Thursday for House Republicans in a challenge brought against the Obama administration over the legality of payments to insurers under #ObamaCare.
Your local police may use a controversial piece of technology—ominously dubbed a #stingray—to track your phone. But, the #FBI is taking pains to make sure you never find out. The agency encourages police to find additional evidence so that stingray technology never comes up in court, according to a new memo.
The RAID Act – Requiring Accountability and Inspections for Dining Service – would subject the #VA to the same health standards as private hospital kitchens, which includes shutting down the facility until problems are corrected. The bill was introduced by Sen. Mark Kirk, R-Ill., after a #Conservative Review investigation revealed allegations of a cockroach infestation so massive that bugs were reportedly being served in food at a Chicago area VA hospital.
One of the nation’s leading e-liquid manufacturers is taking the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to court over regulations that could wipe out 99 percent of the industry.
The Republican Party is unifying around Donald Trump, and far fewer than speculated plan to split the party to vote for Hillary Clinton come November, new polls show.
“A lot of people woke up [on Wednesday] and went, ‘Oh, gosh, this is not a dream,’” said Jeff MacKinnon, a #lobbyists out of DC told the Hill. “I don’t think downtown was really prepared for it happening so quickly. It did catch people off guard.”
